Grammys Track of the Yr predictions: Taylor Swift, Beyonce …

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A person playing an electric guitar on stage, wearing a sequined jacket, with colorful lights in the background and one hand on their chest, eyes closed—channeling a Taylor Swift moment at the Grammys.


A songwriter’s award, the Grammy for Track of the Yr is without doubt one of the most prestigious awards in music. This yr a gaggle of 10 fortunate songs shall be contenders for the highest honor, with one in all them taking the golden gramophone dwelling. However in a yr with a lot music, from each the brand new youngsters on the block and the licensed Grammy darlings, who’s making the lower?

There are 5 songs which can be very apparent locks. Adele’s “Simple On Me” was one more hit for the Grammy juggernaut and can simply get a nomination, particularly after she gained this class for each “Rolling within the Deep” and “Hey” (she’s really the one feminine songwriter to win twice). One other locked Brit is Harry Types, whose “As It Was” is the largest tune eligible this yr having spent 15 weeks at number-one and extra time within the high three than any tune in historical past.

Equally, it’s onerous to think about a lineup with out Beyoncé, who shall be competing together with her hit “Break My Soul”; a nomination for Bey could be her fifth right here, making her the primary or second most nominated feminine artist right here relying on how the remainder of the lineup shakes out (extra on that in a second).

Final however not least, the opposite two locks listed here are Lizzo’s “About Damn Time” and Steve Lacy’s “Unhealthy Behavior,” that are additionally among the many most profitable songs of the yr. All of those 5 songs aren’t solely acclaimed, however are number-one hits that outlined the yr, and have a superb poll placement within the first few letters on the alphabetical listing as effectively. It’ll be a shock if any of those miss.

The remaining 5 spots are the place it will get tough. wager is to go together with the potential Album of the Yr nominees that would cross over right here. Taylor Swift is essentially the most nominated feminine songwriter within the class’s historical past with 5 bids, and she’s going to doubtless lengthen her file — in addition to tie the general file — together with her acclaimed “All Too Effectively (10 Minute Model)”; the model entered is particularly the brief movie model, which options extra of the newer lyrics, thus making it eligible.

One other very potential nominee is Brandi Carlile. Her tune “You and Me on the Rock” would mark her fifth nomination in 5 years, an especially spectacular feat that may make her the second or first most nominated artist within the class’s historical past, once more relying on whether or not Swift will get in. Lastly, it could be clever to foretell Kendrick Lamar to indicate up right here for “The Coronary heart Half 5.” Whereas it wasn’t a giant pop hit like his final nominated tune, “All The Stars,” it was nonetheless a giant second in hip-hop and Lamar’s darling standing definitely will assist.

Some newer artists are additionally within the hunt. Joji’s “Glimpse of Us” is probably the piano ballad of the yr for the brand new era, and the choice singer-songwriter might need constructed up numerous goodwill and hype after his viral hits “Gradual Dancing within the Darkish” and “Yeah Proper.” Joji may very well be joined by fellow Best New Artist hopeful Zach Bryan, who has skilled main success with “One thing within the Orange.” Whereas nation songs could be a bit tougher to promote within the common area, the tune has been a monster streaming hit in the US and retains rising on the charts, with out even doing a lot on nation radio. It additionally helps that Bryan, very similar to lots of his nation friends who’ve been nominated, might need a way more “severe” and Grammy-friendly sound than your typical hit nation tune.

Maybe the exact opposite is Jack Harlow, whose “First Class” is without doubt one of the most enjoyable songs of the yr. If panels have been nonetheless a factor, this tune would little doubt be relegated to Document of the Yr. Nonetheless, a wider vote may assist a tune that, whereas not lyrically spectacular, might be one in all voters’ favourite bops. One other massive newcomer this yr was Gayle together with her hit “abcdefu.” The tune is unquestionably a bit juvenile, however it’s proper on high of the poll and straightforward for voters to see and maybe nominate. Plus, it does assist that songwriters appear to take it severely; it was not too long ago honored on the Nashville Songwriters’ Awards.

And talking of juvenile, the query stays of whether or not voters will embrace “Encanto” or not. On one hand, “We Don’t Discuss About Bruno” was a giant smash, and Lin Manuel-Miranda is unquestionably probably the most well-known songwriters of the twenty first century, so maybe this can be a wonderful means of honoring him and the film’s success. Nonetheless, the tune could be very a lot for a youthful viewers, and voters may very well be extra passionate about “severe” grown-up songs. It additionally doesn’t assist that it’ll be on the backside of the poll, so maybe numerous voters would possibly neglect to even search for it.

Lastly, hold a couple of recognized names close to your predictions. Billie Eilish is a Grammy favourite, so it wouldn’t be a shock to see her viral “TV” get acknowledged right here. One other previous nominee is Girl Gaga, whose “Maintain My Hand” is the everyday energy ballad the Grammys adore. Inversely, there’s pop phenomenon Doja Cat, who may get love for her Afrobeats influenced “Lady.” Lastly, we all know songs which can be excessive on the poll typically could be shock nominees, so be careful for Think about Dragons and JID’s “Enemy,” Dove Cameron’s “Boyfriend,” Camila Cabello and Ed Sheeran’s “Bam Bam,” or Walker Hayes’s “AA” to get in.

My ultimate predictions: “abcdefu” (Gayle); “About Rattling Time” (Lizzo); “All Too Effectively (10 Minute Model) (The Quick Movie)” (Taylor Swift); “As It Was” (Harry Types)”; “Unhealthy Behavior” (Steve Lacy); “Break My Soul” (Beyoncé); “Simple On Me” (Adele); “Glimpse of Us” (Joji); “The Coronary heart Half 5” (Kendrick Lamar); “You and Me On the Rock” (Brandi Carlile).

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